Is the UK getting hotter, and what causes heatwaves?
After several days of warm weather, parts of the UK are preparing for the hottest day of the year so far.
Temperatures are forecast to reach 34C (93.2F) in south-east England on Friday, as hot air spreads up from Spain, Portugal and north Africa.
Experts have said it’s rare to see these high temperatures at this point in June.
Is the UK getting hotter?
Yes, Britain has been slowly getting warmer since the 19th Century. In the past three decades, the UK has become 0.9C warmer.
The 10 hottest years since 1884 have all happened since 2002. And none of the coldest years has been recorded this century.
In 2019, Cambridge saw the hottest temperature ever captured in the UK: 38.7C.
The summer of 2018 was the UK’s second-warmest – shared with 1995 – since 1884. The hottest was in 1976.
When does hot weather become a heatwave?
A heatwave is a period of hot weather where temperatures are higher than is expected for the time of year.
In the UK, the Met Office declares a heatwave when it records at least three days in a row with maximum temperatures exceeding a set temperature.
That threshold varies by county.
Heatwaves usually happen in summer when high pressure develops over an area.
They can also bring so-called “tropical nights” – when night-time temperatures fail to drop below 20C.
That can make it hard to sleep at night and the body can suffer, as it fails to sufficiently cool down.
The Met Office says it’s not clear whether heatwaves are becoming more frequent because of their sporadic nature.
Why are we seeing these changes?
Climate change is causing global temperatures to rise. Greenhouse gases, like carbon dioxide, released into Earth’s atmosphere in large volumes are trapping the sun’s heat, causing the planet to warm.
This has brought more extreme weather, including record-breaking high temperatures across the world.
Periods of intense heat do occur within natural weather patterns, but scientists say they are becoming more frequent, more intense and are lasting longer as a result of global warming.
In the UK, the Met Office has warned that summers like 2018 are 30 times more likely now than before the Industrial Revolution – the point when humans starting producing the emissions that are responsible for climate change.
A report on climate extremes in the UK found that recent years have seen both higher maximum temperatures and longer warm spells.
That trend is predicted to continue. It’s possible that by 2100, the UK could see 40C days every 3 to 4 years.
Is hot weather dangerous?
Hot weather can be dangerous particularly for the vulnerable, including elderly people, children and people with underlying health conditions.
Spending too much time in high temperatures or in the sun, can cause health issues such as heat stroke and cardiovascular failure.
There are also indirect effects like poorer mental health and an increase in accidents such as car crashes and drownings.
In August 2003, 20,000 people died following a heatwave in Europe lasting 10 days, according to the Met Office.
The higher death rate starts to kick in once the thermometer passes 25C-26C.
How do you keep cool when it’s hot?
Where possible, you should modify your routine and behaviour to adapt to the heat.
If you can, travel in the morning or evening when temperatures are lower.
Wear a high-factor sunscreen and a hat if you are going to spend time in the sun.